Morning Report — Monday, April 13, 2026

22 days to Election  |  Early voting is open

Campaign Status

  • Campaign C LIVE. 7 counter-endorsement ads launched Apr 12. All approved and serving. $22/day budget.
  • Meta campaigns A & B: 14 ads active, $22/day combined. Total spend to date: $81.35.
  • Total active ads across all 3 campaigns: 21 ads.
  • Google Ads: Election verification resubmitted Apr 13. Previous submission was FULLY_LIMITED after 7+ days. New submission uses EIN path (FEC → State → EIN fallback). Up to 5 business days for review.
  • YouTube campaign: Built, pending same verification.

Key Metrics (Last 7 Days)

  • GA4: 173 sessions, 145 users, 267 pageviews, 1m 30s avg engagement
  • FB Page: 732 followers, 718 talking about, 20 posts (28d), 106 shares
  • Google Search Console: 13 clicks

Competitive Intel

  • Bogantz: 13 total Meta ads. 2 new “Vote Bogantz” ads launched Apr 11. Est. $500–800 total spend, 70K–80K impressions. Endorsement format continues (Houser, Salvage). Affordability messaging targeting younger voters.
  • LCRP did NOT endorse in the commissioner race. All 5 GOP candidates listed equally.
  • Rath: Still zero paid ads, no website, no digital presence. LCRP fundraiser support only.

Google Verification — Lesson Learned

  • IMPORTANT Google election verification is a TWO-step process, each up to 5 business days.
  • APPROVED_LIMITED does NOT mean ads are serving — must verify actual impressions > 0.
  • Verification resubmitted using EIN path. Troubleshooter: Google Ad Policy Troubleshooter.

Action Items

  • WATCH Google verification — expect resolution by Apr 20 (5 biz days from Apr 13)
  • ACTION Monitor Campaign C performance — first 48 hours critical for optimization
  • WATCH Bogantz ad rotation — new creatives appearing every 1–2 days

Morning Report — Sunday, April 12, 2026

23 days to Election  |  Early voting is open

Campaign Status

  • Meta campaigns A & B: 14 ads active, running smoothly since Apr 9.
  • Campaign C: 7 ads launched today. Counter-endorsement creative approved by Mark and Catherine. All ads submitted to Meta for review.
  • Google Ads: Still FULLY_LIMITED after 8 days. Escalation planned for Apr 13 with verification resubmission.

Competitive Intel

  • Bogantz: 13 total ads. Apr 11 saw 2 new “Vote Bogantz — A True Conservative” ads. Continuing endorsement rotation strategy.
  • Rath: No change. Zero digital ad presence.

Action Items

  • URGENT Resubmit Google verification Apr 13 using EIN fallback path
  • WATCH Campaign C ad review — expect Meta approval within 24 hours

Morning Report — Saturday, April 11, 2026

24 days to Election  |  Early voting is open

Campaign Status

  • Meta campaigns A & B: 12 ads live, active. $22/day combined.
  • Campaign C: 8 cards submitted for Mark + Catherine approval — review here.
  • Google Ads: Election verification in day 7 (FULLY_LIMITED). Escalate April 13 if still blocked.
  • Website: citizensforvanburen.com live. Landing page /licking-county-commissioner-2026 indexed.

Competitive Intel — New

  • Bogantz now at 13 total Meta ads. New endorsement ads running for Houser, Salvage, and an unidentified third endorser (Ad ID 1710597353440177, created Apr 10, image-only format). Visual ID of the third endorser needed — if it's a named Licking County figure, counter-response plan needed within 48 hours.
  • Stacie Baker (D) — Ohio Senate District 3: Columbus Dispatch profiled her Apr 8. She is a West Licking Joint Fire District Board member — same board where Mark is VP. Network overlap. Mark should stay neutral publicly and be prepared if a reporter asks about the board connection.
  • Alexandria income tax (0.5% → 1.5%) on May 5 ballot. Tax-driven turnout in Alexandria peaks Election Day — drives additional voters to the polls in that zone on May 5.

Action Items

  • URGENT Approve Campaign C cardsAd Approval page
  • WATCH Alexandria turnout — income tax issue on ballot drives Election Day turnout in that zone
  • ACTION Visually ID the Apr 10 Bogantz endorsement adview in Meta Ad Library
  • WATCH Google election verification escalation — flag April 13 if still FULLY_LIMITED

Morning Report — Friday, April 10, 2026

25 days to Election  |  Early voting is open

Campaign Status

  • Meta campaigns A & B: Day 2. 14 ads running. Early performance data coming in — Campaign A showing $3.09 CPM, 0.53% CTR.
  • Website rewrite deployed to prod. citizensforvanburen.com fully live with new design.
  • SEO landing page /licking-county-commissioner-2026 deployed and indexed by Google.
  • Donation link (PayPal) restored — had been broken since Apr 7 rewrite.
  • Contact form CORS fix deployed — Worker now accepts custom domain.

Competitive Intel

  • Bogantz: New video ad launched Apr 10. Total now at 11+ ads. Continuing to cycle short-interval creatives.
  • Rath: No change. Zero paid advertising.

Client Portal Updates

  • Portal refactored with shared portal-header.js and portal-nav.js components.
  • Nested nav dropdown for Ad Approvals (Campaign C + A&B).
  • Archive pattern implemented for superseded documents.

Action Items

  • WATCH Campaign A vs B performance — compare after 48 hours of delivery
  • PENDING Campaign C creative — 8 counter-endorsement cards for Mark + Catherine approval
  • WATCH Google verification — day 6, escalate Apr 13 if still FULLY_LIMITED

Morning Report — Wednesday, April 9, 2026

26 days to Election  |  Early voting is open

Campaign Update

  • Facebook ads are LIVE. 12 ads running across 2 campaigns — Campaign A (radius targeting, $11/day) and Campaign B (zip code targeting, $11/day).
  • Meta political ad disclaimer "Paid for by Citizens for Van Buren" — approved.
  • A/B testing two targeting strategies to optimize reach per dollar.
  • Early results: Campaign A reached 946 people with $3.63 spent in first hours.

Competitive Intel

  • Bogantz has ramped up to 10 total ads (3 currently active), estimated $500-800 total spend, ~70K-80K impressions since March 8.
  • Rath: zero paid advertising activity.
  • Smith, Snedden: no digital presence.

Press

  • The Reporting Project (Denison University) published candidate profile on Mark — read article.

This Week

  • April 23 — Campaign finance filing deadline
  • April 25 — C-TEC Auditorium forum, 7pm (Newark Advocate / WNKO / LWV)

New Tools

Morning Report — Saturday, April 4, 2026

31 days to Election  |  Early voting starts in 3 days

🚨 Critical: 9 AM Screen Share Today

Google Ads payment setup + election verification application with Mark via Google Meet. This is the gate to launching search ads. Mark enters his own card — Kelly guides through the UI.

Election Countdown

Election DayMay 5, 2026 (31 days)
Early Voting OpensApril 7, 2026 (3 days)
Pre-Primary FilingApril 23, 2026 (19 days)
Ad StatusLIVE — 12 ads running across 2 campaigns
Ads Ready12 ads live across 2 campaigns (6 per campaign)

Action Items — Today

  • 9 AM: Screen share with Mark — Google Ads payment + election verification
  • Mark: Meta identity confirmationfacebook.com/id (5 min, driver's license). STILL PENDING.
  • Review 11 adsAd Approval Page (6 FB/IG + 3 Google + 2 YouTube)
  • Mark: Issues write-up — 6 topics, 2-3 sentences each
  • Mark: Respond to Carlisle/Etna intel email

📊 NEW: Voter File Analysis (Ohio SOS Data) MAJOR

We downloaded and analyzed the complete Licking County voter file — 124,720 registered voters, 107,063 active. Here are the findings that drive our ad targeting:

MetricCount% of ActiveImplication
Active Voters107,063100%Universe
Registered Republican28,65826.8%Primary target
Registered Democrat8,0397.5%Not our target
Unaffiliated70,36665.7%The battlefield
— Pulled R ballot before13,00518.5% of unaffiliatedR-leaning, targetable
— Pulled D ballot before10,77315.3% of unaffiliatedUnlikely R primary
— Pulled both R and D4,6066.5% of unaffiliatedTrue swing
— Never voted in primary41,98259.7% of unaffiliatedUntapped reservoir
Total R-Accessible Pool46,26943.2%Our full universe

Age of R Primary Voters (2024)

Republican primary voters skew heavily older. Over 73% are 55+. Our ads should reflect this demographic.

AgeVoters%
18-341,3356.4%
35-544,32320.6%
55-644,72322.6%
65-745,83727.9%
75+4,72122.5%

Strongest R Townships (2024 Primary R%)

TownshipR%R VotesTotal PrimaryNotes
Liberty Twp88%470535Bogantz territory
Franklin Twp88%461525Strong R
Fallsbury Twp87%152175Rural stronghold
Mary Ann Twp87%290333Rural
Harrison Twp84%1,2431,484Mark's base
Monroe Twp84%1,0451,237High volume
Licking Twp83%8461,016Strong R
Etna Twp65%1,4412,221Largest volume, more competitive
Granville Twp61%1,1471,879University town, most competitive

🗺 NEW: Interactive Voter Heatmap LIVE

View the heatmap → Interactive map of Licking County with drill-down by township and ZIP code. Filter by: R primary %, registered Rs, unaffiliated voters, R-leaning independents, age 55+, and never-primaried voters. Click any area for detailed breakdown.

📊 Polling Insights — What R Voters Care About

IssueSourceData
Waste/fraud/abuseAMAC (2,283 R voters)53% say #1 priority
Economy/financesAP-NORC (1,146 adults)43% top concern
TaxesAP-NORC19% R vs 10% D (2x gap)
CrimeAP-NORC22% R vs 5% D (4x gap)
Property tax reformOhio Farm BureauCore 2026 priority
Farmland lost to developmentOhio Farm Bureau270K acres in 20 years

Takeaway: Lead with fiscal discipline and waste elimination. Mark's tax millage cut, MBA in Finance, and 25-year public service record are exactly what 53% of R voters say matters most. New Ad 6 ("Every Dollar Accounted For") targets this directly.

Competitive Intel

CandidateFollowersAdsActivity
Van Buren696$0 (11 ready)38.5K organic views. Bio+email updated.
Rath485$0Council tour (Granville, Etna, Heath). LCRP insider.
Bogantz489~$30018.9K video views. Blocking residents. Fortune 500 IT background.
Smith/Snedden0$0No activity

Alerts & Flags

  • PENDING Awaiting Mark's response on Carlisle connection (email sent)
  • PENDING Mark's Meta identity verification — every day of delay = fewer days of ads before May 5
  • NEW Ohio Farm Bureau screening candidates for "Friends of Agriculture" — Mark should apply
  • NEW Bogantz blocking Liberty Twp residents on Facebook per Todd Mckee comment
  • INTEL Ohio semi-open primaries: any voter can pull R ballot. 41,982 unaffiliated have never voted in a primary.

Next 72 Hours

  • Today (Apr 4): 9 AM Google Ads screen share. Meta verification. Ad approvals.
  • Tomorrow (Apr 5): Easter Sunday
  • Monday (Apr 7): EARLY VOTING OPENS

Morning Report — April 4, 2026

31 days to Election Day  |  Early voting starts April 7

Election Countdown

Election DayMay 5, 2026 (31 days)
Early Voting OpensApril 7, 2026 (3 days)
Pre-Primary Filing DeadlineApril 23, 2026 (19 days)
Ad StatusLIVE — 12 ads running across 2 campaigns

Action Items — Today

  • 9 AM: Screen share with Mark — Google Ads payment setup + election verification application
  • Mark: Complete Meta identity confirmationfacebook.com/id (5 minutes, driver's license)
  • Review & approve ads11 ads ready for approval (5 FB, 3 Google, 2 YouTube, 1 new waste/accountability)
  • Mark: Send issues write-up (6 topics, 2-3 sentences each)

What Was Completed Yesterday (April 3)

  • Google Analytics + Meta Pixel installed on citizensforvanburen.com LIVE
  • SEO updated (Home + About page titles/descriptions)
  • Opposition research completed on all 5 candidates (deep dive: website crawl, LinkedIn, FB feeds)
  • Race intelligence report updated — Rick Black confirmed not running (open seat)
  • Campaign dashboard built with Facebook metrics baseline
  • Secure client portal deployed with 19 documents
  • 17 Google Alerts activated (candidates, race, opponents' digital presence)
  • 11 ad mockups created (5 FB/IG, 3 Google Search, 2 YouTube video, 1 polling-based)
  • Facebook page bio updated + email changed (prodigy.net → att.net) per Catherine
  • Ad approval page live with checkbox workflow
  • Etna Oversight / Carlisle / 2008 research completed and reported to Mark

Competitive Intel Update

CandidateFollowersAd SpendActivity
Mark Van Buren696$0 (launching soon)38.5K organic views, 4.2K on announcement video
Jeff Rath485$0Attending council meetings across county (Granville, Etna, Heath). Expanding into Hebron.
Bill Bogantz489~$30018.9K organic video views. Former Fortune 500 IT exec. 10-section website. "God FAMILY COUNTRY" messaging.
Gregory Smith0$0No activity detected.
James Snedden Jr0$0No activity detected.

Voter Research — Polling Insights NEW

FindingSourceData PointMark's Message
Waste/fraud/abuse is #1 R priorityAMAC Poll (2,283 R voters)53% say it's top AG priority25yr budget mgmt, tax millage cut
Economy/personal financesAP-NORC (1,146 adults)43% top concern (up from 31%)MBA Finance, fiscal discipline
Taxes 2x priority for RsAP-NORC19% R vs 10% DProperty tax reduction record
Property tax reformOhio Farm Bureau 2026Core priorityCAUV, tax millage, farmland preservation
Ohio losing farmlandOhio Farm Bureau270K acres lost in 20yr (48% to development)Ag zoning protections, Van Buren Acres
Crime 4x priority for RsAP-NORC22% R vs 5% DFire District VP, public safety

Alerts & Flags

  • FLAG Etna Oversight post criticizing all candidates for "pancakes over policy" — email sent to Mark with context on Carlisle connection and Mark Evans controversy
  • FLAG Bogantz blocking Liberty Township residents on Facebook (per Todd Mckee comment on Mark's page) — contradicts his transparency platform
  • INFO Ohio Farm Bureau screening candidates for "Friends of Agriculture" designation in 2026 — Mark should apply
  • INFO Ohio property tax elimination ballot initiative collecting signatures (due Jul 2026) — may drive conservative voter turnout discussions
  • INFO Catherine confirmed: phone stays, email updated, bio updated with full credentials

Next 72 Hours

  • Today (Apr 4): Google Ads payment + election verification (9 AM call). Mark completes Meta identity. Ad approvals.
  • Tomorrow (Apr 5): Easter Sunday — no campaign activity
  • Monday (Apr 6): Issues write-up due. Photos/headshot follow-up. Early voting prep.
  • Monday (Apr 7): EARLY VOTING OPENS — ads must be live or we're losing voters

Previous reports will appear here as the campaign progresses.

Morning reports are delivered by email at 9 AM and archived on this page.