Morning Report — Monday, April 13, 2026
Campaign Status
- Campaign C LIVE. 7 counter-endorsement ads launched Apr 12. All approved and serving. $22/day budget.
- Meta campaigns A & B: 14 ads active, $22/day combined. Total spend to date: $81.35.
- Total active ads across all 3 campaigns: 21 ads.
- Google Ads: Election verification resubmitted Apr 13. Previous submission was FULLY_LIMITED after 7+ days. New submission uses EIN path (FEC → State → EIN fallback). Up to 5 business days for review.
- YouTube campaign: Built, pending same verification.
Key Metrics (Last 7 Days)
- GA4: 173 sessions, 145 users, 267 pageviews, 1m 30s avg engagement
- FB Page: 732 followers, 718 talking about, 20 posts (28d), 106 shares
- Google Search Console: 13 clicks
Competitive Intel
- Bogantz: 13 total Meta ads. 2 new “Vote Bogantz” ads launched Apr 11. Est. $500–800 total spend, 70K–80K impressions. Endorsement format continues (Houser, Salvage). Affordability messaging targeting younger voters.
- LCRP did NOT endorse in the commissioner race. All 5 GOP candidates listed equally.
- Rath: Still zero paid ads, no website, no digital presence. LCRP fundraiser support only.
Google Verification — Lesson Learned
- IMPORTANT Google election verification is a TWO-step process, each up to 5 business days.
- APPROVED_LIMITED does NOT mean ads are serving — must verify actual impressions > 0.
- Verification resubmitted using EIN path. Troubleshooter: Google Ad Policy Troubleshooter.
Action Items
- WATCH Google verification — expect resolution by Apr 20 (5 biz days from Apr 13)
- ACTION Monitor Campaign C performance — first 48 hours critical for optimization
- WATCH Bogantz ad rotation — new creatives appearing every 1–2 days
Morning Report — Sunday, April 12, 2026
Campaign Status
- Meta campaigns A & B: 14 ads active, running smoothly since Apr 9.
- Campaign C: 7 ads launched today. Counter-endorsement creative approved by Mark and Catherine. All ads submitted to Meta for review.
- Google Ads: Still FULLY_LIMITED after 8 days. Escalation planned for Apr 13 with verification resubmission.
Competitive Intel
- Bogantz: 13 total ads. Apr 11 saw 2 new “Vote Bogantz — A True Conservative” ads. Continuing endorsement rotation strategy.
- Rath: No change. Zero digital ad presence.
Action Items
- URGENT Resubmit Google verification Apr 13 using EIN fallback path
- WATCH Campaign C ad review — expect Meta approval within 24 hours
Morning Report — Saturday, April 11, 2026
Campaign Status
- Meta campaigns A & B: 12 ads live, active. $22/day combined.
- Campaign C: 8 cards submitted for Mark + Catherine approval — review here.
- Google Ads: Election verification in day 7 (FULLY_LIMITED). Escalate April 13 if still blocked.
- Website: citizensforvanburen.com live. Landing page
/licking-county-commissioner-2026indexed.
Competitive Intel — New
- Bogantz now at 13 total Meta ads. New endorsement ads running for Houser, Salvage, and an unidentified third endorser (Ad ID 1710597353440177, created Apr 10, image-only format). Visual ID of the third endorser needed — if it's a named Licking County figure, counter-response plan needed within 48 hours.
- Stacie Baker (D) — Ohio Senate District 3: Columbus Dispatch profiled her Apr 8. She is a West Licking Joint Fire District Board member — same board where Mark is VP. Network overlap. Mark should stay neutral publicly and be prepared if a reporter asks about the board connection.
- Alexandria income tax (0.5% → 1.5%) on May 5 ballot. Tax-driven turnout in Alexandria peaks Election Day — drives additional voters to the polls in that zone on May 5.
Action Items
- URGENT Approve Campaign C cards — Ad Approval page
- WATCH Alexandria turnout — income tax issue on ballot drives Election Day turnout in that zone
- ACTION Visually ID the Apr 10 Bogantz endorsement ad — view in Meta Ad Library
- WATCH Google election verification escalation — flag April 13 if still FULLY_LIMITED
Morning Report — Friday, April 10, 2026
Campaign Status
- Meta campaigns A & B: Day 2. 14 ads running. Early performance data coming in — Campaign A showing $3.09 CPM, 0.53% CTR.
- Website rewrite deployed to prod. citizensforvanburen.com fully live with new design.
- SEO landing page
/licking-county-commissioner-2026deployed and indexed by Google. - Donation link (PayPal) restored — had been broken since Apr 7 rewrite.
- Contact form CORS fix deployed — Worker now accepts custom domain.
Competitive Intel
- Bogantz: New video ad launched Apr 10. Total now at 11+ ads. Continuing to cycle short-interval creatives.
- Rath: No change. Zero paid advertising.
Client Portal Updates
- Portal refactored with shared
portal-header.jsandportal-nav.jscomponents. - Nested nav dropdown for Ad Approvals (Campaign C + A&B).
- Archive pattern implemented for superseded documents.
Action Items
- WATCH Campaign A vs B performance — compare after 48 hours of delivery
- PENDING Campaign C creative — 8 counter-endorsement cards for Mark + Catherine approval
- WATCH Google verification — day 6, escalate Apr 13 if still FULLY_LIMITED
Morning Report — Wednesday, April 9, 2026
Campaign Update
- Facebook ads are LIVE. 12 ads running across 2 campaigns — Campaign A (radius targeting, $11/day) and Campaign B (zip code targeting, $11/day).
- Meta political ad disclaimer "Paid for by Citizens for Van Buren" — approved.
- A/B testing two targeting strategies to optimize reach per dollar.
- Early results: Campaign A reached 946 people with $3.63 spent in first hours.
Competitive Intel
- Bogantz has ramped up to 10 total ads (3 currently active), estimated $500-800 total spend, ~70K-80K impressions since March 8.
- Rath: zero paid advertising activity.
- Smith, Snedden: no digital presence.
Press
- The Reporting Project (Denison University) published candidate profile on Mark — read article.
This Week
- April 23 — Campaign finance filing deadline
- April 25 — C-TEC Auditorium forum, 7pm (Newark Advocate / WNKO / LWV)
New Tools
- Ad Performance Dashboard — live metrics, auto-updates every 4 hours
- Competitor Ad Tracker — Meta Ad Library data for all candidates
Morning Report — Saturday, April 4, 2026
🚨 Critical: 9 AM Screen Share Today
Google Ads payment setup + election verification application with Mark via Google Meet. This is the gate to launching search ads. Mark enters his own card — Kelly guides through the UI.
Election Countdown
| Election Day | May 5, 2026 (31 days) |
| Early Voting Opens | April 7, 2026 (3 days) |
| Pre-Primary Filing | April 23, 2026 (19 days) |
| Ad Status | LIVE — 12 ads running across 2 campaigns |
| Ads Ready | 12 ads live across 2 campaigns (6 per campaign) |
Action Items — Today
- 9 AM: Screen share with Mark — Google Ads payment + election verification
- Mark: Meta identity confirmation — facebook.com/id (5 min, driver's license). STILL PENDING.
- Review 11 ads — Ad Approval Page (6 FB/IG + 3 Google + 2 YouTube)
- Mark: Issues write-up — 6 topics, 2-3 sentences each
- Mark: Respond to Carlisle/Etna intel email
📊 NEW: Voter File Analysis (Ohio SOS Data) MAJOR
We downloaded and analyzed the complete Licking County voter file — 124,720 registered voters, 107,063 active. Here are the findings that drive our ad targeting:
| Metric | Count | % of Active | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active Voters | 107,063 | 100% | Universe |
| Registered Republican | 28,658 | 26.8% | Primary target |
| Registered Democrat | 8,039 | 7.5% | Not our target |
| Unaffiliated | 70,366 | 65.7% | The battlefield |
| — Pulled R ballot before | 13,005 | 18.5% of unaffiliated | R-leaning, targetable |
| — Pulled D ballot before | 10,773 | 15.3% of unaffiliated | Unlikely R primary |
| — Pulled both R and D | 4,606 | 6.5% of unaffiliated | True swing |
| — Never voted in primary | 41,982 | 59.7% of unaffiliated | Untapped reservoir |
| Total R-Accessible Pool | 46,269 | 43.2% | Our full universe |
Age of R Primary Voters (2024)
Republican primary voters skew heavily older. Over 73% are 55+. Our ads should reflect this demographic.
| Age | Voters | % |
|---|---|---|
| 18-34 | 1,335 | 6.4% |
| 35-54 | 4,323 | 20.6% |
| 55-64 | 4,723 | 22.6% |
| 65-74 | 5,837 | 27.9% |
| 75+ | 4,721 | 22.5% |
Strongest R Townships (2024 Primary R%)
| Township | R% | R Votes | Total Primary | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Twp | 88% | 470 | 535 | Bogantz territory |
| Franklin Twp | 88% | 461 | 525 | Strong R |
| Fallsbury Twp | 87% | 152 | 175 | Rural stronghold |
| Mary Ann Twp | 87% | 290 | 333 | Rural |
| Harrison Twp | 84% | 1,243 | 1,484 | Mark's base |
| Monroe Twp | 84% | 1,045 | 1,237 | High volume |
| Licking Twp | 83% | 846 | 1,016 | Strong R |
| Etna Twp | 65% | 1,441 | 2,221 | Largest volume, more competitive |
| Granville Twp | 61% | 1,147 | 1,879 | University town, most competitive |
🗺 NEW: Interactive Voter Heatmap LIVE
View the heatmap → Interactive map of Licking County with drill-down by township and ZIP code. Filter by: R primary %, registered Rs, unaffiliated voters, R-leaning independents, age 55+, and never-primaried voters. Click any area for detailed breakdown.
📊 Polling Insights — What R Voters Care About
| Issue | Source | Data |
|---|---|---|
| Waste/fraud/abuse | AMAC (2,283 R voters) | 53% say #1 priority |
| Economy/finances | AP-NORC (1,146 adults) | 43% top concern |
| Taxes | AP-NORC | 19% R vs 10% D (2x gap) |
| Crime | AP-NORC | 22% R vs 5% D (4x gap) |
| Property tax reform | Ohio Farm Bureau | Core 2026 priority |
| Farmland lost to development | Ohio Farm Bureau | 270K acres in 20 years |
Takeaway: Lead with fiscal discipline and waste elimination. Mark's tax millage cut, MBA in Finance, and 25-year public service record are exactly what 53% of R voters say matters most. New Ad 6 ("Every Dollar Accounted For") targets this directly.
Competitive Intel
| Candidate | Followers | Ads | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Van Buren | 696 | $0 (11 ready) | 38.5K organic views. Bio+email updated. |
| Rath | 485 | $0 | Council tour (Granville, Etna, Heath). LCRP insider. |
| Bogantz | 489 | ~$300 | 18.9K video views. Blocking residents. Fortune 500 IT background. |
| Smith/Snedden | 0 | $0 | No activity |
Alerts & Flags
- PENDING Awaiting Mark's response on Carlisle connection (email sent)
- PENDING Mark's Meta identity verification — every day of delay = fewer days of ads before May 5
- NEW Ohio Farm Bureau screening candidates for "Friends of Agriculture" — Mark should apply
- NEW Bogantz blocking Liberty Twp residents on Facebook per Todd Mckee comment
- INTEL Ohio semi-open primaries: any voter can pull R ballot. 41,982 unaffiliated have never voted in a primary.
Next 72 Hours
- Today (Apr 4): 9 AM Google Ads screen share. Meta verification. Ad approvals.
- Tomorrow (Apr 5): Easter Sunday
- Monday (Apr 7): EARLY VOTING OPENS
Morning Report — April 4, 2026
Election Countdown
| Election Day | May 5, 2026 (31 days) |
| Early Voting Opens | April 7, 2026 (3 days) |
| Pre-Primary Filing Deadline | April 23, 2026 (19 days) |
| Ad Status | LIVE — 12 ads running across 2 campaigns |
Action Items — Today
- 9 AM: Screen share with Mark — Google Ads payment setup + election verification application
- Mark: Complete Meta identity confirmation — facebook.com/id (5 minutes, driver's license)
- Review & approve ads — 11 ads ready for approval (5 FB, 3 Google, 2 YouTube, 1 new waste/accountability)
- Mark: Send issues write-up (6 topics, 2-3 sentences each)
What Was Completed Yesterday (April 3)
- Google Analytics + Meta Pixel installed on citizensforvanburen.com LIVE
- SEO updated (Home + About page titles/descriptions)
- Opposition research completed on all 5 candidates (deep dive: website crawl, LinkedIn, FB feeds)
- Race intelligence report updated — Rick Black confirmed not running (open seat)
- Campaign dashboard built with Facebook metrics baseline
- Secure client portal deployed with 19 documents
- 17 Google Alerts activated (candidates, race, opponents' digital presence)
- 11 ad mockups created (5 FB/IG, 3 Google Search, 2 YouTube video, 1 polling-based)
- Facebook page bio updated + email changed (prodigy.net → att.net) per Catherine
- Ad approval page live with checkbox workflow
- Etna Oversight / Carlisle / 2008 research completed and reported to Mark
Competitive Intel Update
| Candidate | Followers | Ad Spend | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Van Buren | 696 | $0 (launching soon) | 38.5K organic views, 4.2K on announcement video |
| Jeff Rath | 485 | $0 | Attending council meetings across county (Granville, Etna, Heath). Expanding into Hebron. |
| Bill Bogantz | 489 | ~$300 | 18.9K organic video views. Former Fortune 500 IT exec. 10-section website. "God FAMILY COUNTRY" messaging. |
| Gregory Smith | 0 | $0 | No activity detected. |
| James Snedden Jr | 0 | $0 | No activity detected. |
Voter Research — Polling Insights NEW
| Finding | Source | Data Point | Mark's Message |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste/fraud/abuse is #1 R priority | AMAC Poll (2,283 R voters) | 53% say it's top AG priority | 25yr budget mgmt, tax millage cut |
| Economy/personal finances | AP-NORC (1,146 adults) | 43% top concern (up from 31%) | MBA Finance, fiscal discipline |
| Taxes 2x priority for Rs | AP-NORC | 19% R vs 10% D | Property tax reduction record |
| Property tax reform | Ohio Farm Bureau 2026 | Core priority | CAUV, tax millage, farmland preservation |
| Ohio losing farmland | Ohio Farm Bureau | 270K acres lost in 20yr (48% to development) | Ag zoning protections, Van Buren Acres |
| Crime 4x priority for Rs | AP-NORC | 22% R vs 5% D | Fire District VP, public safety |
Alerts & Flags
- FLAG Etna Oversight post criticizing all candidates for "pancakes over policy" — email sent to Mark with context on Carlisle connection and Mark Evans controversy
- FLAG Bogantz blocking Liberty Township residents on Facebook (per Todd Mckee comment on Mark's page) — contradicts his transparency platform
- INFO Ohio Farm Bureau screening candidates for "Friends of Agriculture" designation in 2026 — Mark should apply
- INFO Ohio property tax elimination ballot initiative collecting signatures (due Jul 2026) — may drive conservative voter turnout discussions
- INFO Catherine confirmed: phone stays, email updated, bio updated with full credentials
Next 72 Hours
- Today (Apr 4): Google Ads payment + election verification (9 AM call). Mark completes Meta identity. Ad approvals.
- Tomorrow (Apr 5): Easter Sunday — no campaign activity
- Monday (Apr 6): Issues write-up due. Photos/headshot follow-up. Early voting prep.
- Monday (Apr 7): EARLY VOTING OPENS — ads must be live or we're losing voters
Previous reports will appear here as the campaign progresses.
Morning reports are delivered by email at 9 AM and archived on this page.